Template-type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Author-Name: Dietrich, Stephan Author-Email: dietrich@merit.unu.edu Author-Workplace-Name: UNU-MERIT, Maastricht University Author-Name: Giuffrida, Valerio Author-Email: giuffrida@merit.unu.edu Author-Workplace-Name: UNU-MERIT, and Research Assessment and Monitoring Division, UN World Food Programme Author-Name: Martorano, Bruno Author-Email: martorano@merit.unu.edu Author-Workplace-Name: UNU-MERIT, Maastricht University Author-Name: Schmerzeck, Georg Author-Email: georg.schmerzeck@gu.se Author-Workplace-Name: Department of Philosophy, Linguistics and Theory of Science, University of Gothenburg Title: COVID-19 policy responses, mobility, and food prices: Evidence from local markets in 47 low to middle income countries Abstract: Governments around the world have taken drastic measures to contain the spread of the new Coronavirus. Policy responses to the pandemic could affect local food prices in sensitive ways. We hypothesize that mobility restrictions reduce trade, which increases food price dispersion and prices in regionally integrated markets, but not in segmented markets. We use WFP price data of 798 retail markets in 47 low to middle income countries to test if and how food prices were affected by the stringency of COVID- 19 measures. We assess market segmentation based on pre-COVID-19 price data and measure government responses using the Oxford Coronavirus Government Response Tracker. Our results show that more stringent policy responses increase food prices for integrated and less remote markets but not for segmented markets. The impact of the stringency of policy reposes on food prices is mediated by reductions in mobility and moderated by markets' pre-Corona dependency on trade. Classification-JEL: H12, D4, Q11, Q18, D04 Keywords: COVID-19, Prices, Food, Market Integration, Public Policy Series: UNU-MERIT Working Papers Creation-Date: 20210301 Number: 2021-008 File-URL: https://unu-merit.nl/publications/wppdf/2021/wp2021-008.pdf File-Format: application/pdf File-Size: 275 Kb Handle: RePEc:unm:unumer:2021008