Template-type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Author-Name: Mohnen, Pierre Author-Email: P.Mohnen@MERIT.unimaas.nl Author-Workplace-Name: United Nations University, Maastricht Economic and social Research and training centre on Innovation and Technology Author-Name: Schim van der Loeff, S. Author-Email: s.loeff@ke.unimaas.nl Author-Workplace-Name: University of Maastricht, Department of Quantitative Economics Author-Name: Palm, Franz Author-Email: f.palm@ke.unimaas.nl Author-Workplace-Name: University of Maastricht, Department of Quantitative Economics Author-Name: Raymond, Wladimir Author-Email: w.raymond@ke.unimaas.nl Author-Workplace-Name: University of Maastricht, Department of Quantitative Economics Title: Persistence of Innovation in Dutch Manufacturing: Is it Spurious? Abstract: This paper studies the persistence of innovation and the dynamics of innovation output in Dutch manufacturing using firm data from three waves of the Community Innovation Surveys (CIS), pertaining to the periods 1994-1996, 1996-1998, and 1998-2000. We estimate by maximum likelihood a dynamic panel data type 2 tobit model accounting for individual effects and handling the initial conditions problem. We find that there is no evidence of true persistence in achieving technological product or process innovations, while past shares of innovative sales condition, albeit to a small extent, current shares of innovative sales. Classification-JEL: C33, C34, O31 Keywords: Dynamic panel data type 2 tobit, Innovation, Spurious persistence Series: UNU-MERIT Working Papers Creation-Date: 2006 Number: 2006-011 File-URL: https://unu-merit.nl/publications/wppdf/2006/wp2006-011.pdf File-Format: application/pdf File-Size: 275 Kb Handle: RePEc:unm:unumer:2006011