Template-type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Author-Name: Mohnen, Pierre Author-Email: p.mohnen@merit.unimaas.nl Author-Workplace-Name: UNU-MERIT Author-Name: Lokshin, Boris Author-Email: b.lokshin@os.unimaas.nl Author-Workplace-Name: UNU-MERIT Title: What does it take for an R&D tax incentive policy to be effective? Abstract: While in 1996, 12 OECD countries offered R&D tax incentives, in 2008 this number increased to 21. Most countries have opted for level-based instead of incremental R&D tax incentives. This paper takes a critical look at how the effectiveness of R&D tax incentives has been assessed in recent evaluations. Whether based on structural models estimating a price elasticity of R&D or on treatment evaluation methods, most studies estimate the cost effectiveness ratio or additionality. If the cost effectiveness ratio is greater than 1, or firms to more R&D than before, the policy is considered to be effective. A more proper net welfare evaluation of this policy should also include administration, compliance and transfer costs, the marginal burden of taxation, as well R&D externalities and the indirect effects on innovation and productivity. The net welfare gain is shown to be sensitive to a certain number of parameters that are not always estimated with great precision. In particular, the transfer cost or deadweight loss associated with level-based tax incentives is shown to depend on the size of the firm, or more precisely its ex-ante R&D level. We report on the success of a past policy changes in the Netherlands and simulate the effect of various parameter changes in the existing Dutch R&D tax incentive scheme. We show that introducing marginal changes in the schemes's parameters has little impact of increased R&D spending. The policy is more effective for small firms than for large firms. We end with a discussion of the pros and cons of level-based versus incremental R&D tax incentives. Classification-JEL: O32, O38, H25, H50 Keywords: R&D tax credits, R&D, tax credits, policy evaluation, cost-benefit analysis Series: UNU-MERIT Working Papers Creation-Date: 2009 Number: 014 File-URL: http://www.merit.unu.edu/publications/wppdf/2009/wp2009-014.pdf File-Format: application/pdf File-Size: 275 Kb Handle: RePEc:unm:unumer:2009014