Template-type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0
Author-Name: Taanman, Mattijs
Author-Email: taanman@fsw.eur.nl
Author-Workplace-Name: Dutch Research Institute For Transitions, Erasmus University Rotterdam 
Author-Name: Groot, Arend de
Author-Email: a.degroot@ecn.nl
Author-Workplace-Name: ECN
Author-Name: Kemp, René
Author-Email: kemp@merit.unu.edu
Author-Workplace-Name: UNU-MERIT and TNO-STB
Author-Name: Verspagen, Bart
Author-Email: b.verspagen@tm.tue.nl
Author-Workplace-Name: Eindhoven University of Technology and TIK, University of Oslo
Title: Diffusion Paths for Micro Cogeneration Using Hydrogen in the Netherlands
Abstract: We estimate the diffusion of micro cogeneration systems (MiCoGen) using
	 hydrogen produced from natural gas in the Netherlands for the 2000-2050
	 period on the basis of economical factors. The diffusion is important
	 for the transition to a hydrogen economy based on renewables, with
	 natural gas paving the way for hydrogen from renewables which. For three
	 scenarios full diffusion takes place in the period 2020-2050. The most
	 important factors behind the diffusion are: growing energy demand,
	 resulting in lower hydrogen costs and higher energy costs in the
	 reference case and lower costs of MiCoGen stemming from learning
	 economies. The model is very ad-vanced by considering all costs
	 components for heterogeneous users which have been calculated for the
	 entire diffusion period. It is the first threshold diffusion model that
	 is being applied to the diffusion of technological clusters involving
	 new or adapted infrastructures. 
Classification-JEL: Q42, O13, O33
Keywords: diffusion model, hydrogen, hydrogen economy, micro cogeneration  
Series: UNU-MERIT Working Papers
Creation-Date: 2006
Number: 025
File-URL: http://www.merit.unu.edu/publications/wppdf/2006/wp2006-025.pdf
File-Format: application/pdf
File-Size: 275 Kb
Handle: RePEc:unm:unumer:2006025