Template-type: ReDif-Paper 1.0 Author-Name: Westerlund J. Author-Name: Smeekes S. Author-workplace-name: GSBE Title: Robust block bootstrap panel predictability tests Abstract: Most panel data studies of the predictability of returns presume that the cross-sectional units are independent, an assumption that is not realistic. As a response to this, the current paper develops block bootstrap-based panel predictability tests that are valid under very general conditions. Some of the allowable features include heterogeneous predictive slopes, persistent predictors, and complex error dynamics, including cross-unit endogeneity. Keywords: Statistical Simulation Methods: General; Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Models with Panel Data; Longitudinal Data; Spatial Time Series; Financial Crises; Asset Pricing; Trading volume; Bond Interest Rates; Classification-JEL: C15; C22; C23; G01; G12; . Series: Research Memorandum Creation-Date: 2013 Number: 060 File-URL: http://pub.maastrichtuniversity.nl/3e67aa05-ecba-4d2c-a944-b790f47457be File-Format: application/pdf File-Size: 362398 Handle: RePEc:unm:umagsb:2013060